Histogram of 3,211 eruption durations. Diagram reproduced with permission. From Simkin, T., and Siebert, L., 1994, Volcanoes of the World: Geoscience Press, Tucson, Arizona, 349 p.
Historic eruptions have lasted less than a day to thousands of years. In 1977, the lava lake at Nyiragongo drained in less than one hour. In contrast, Stromboli has had a low-level of activity since 450 BC (about 2,400 years).
Percent of Volcanoes Duration
9% < 1 day
16% < 2 days
24% < 1 week
30% < 2 weeks
43% < 1 month
53% < 2 months
17% > 1 year
7% > 3 years
0.5% > 30 years
Durations of eruption based on 3,211 historic eruptions. Data from Simkin
and Siebert (1994).
The median duration of historic eruptions is 7 weeks.
Simkin and Siebert (1994) make several important observations:
1. the paroxysmal phase of an eruption can occur during any interval
of a volcanoes eruption, for example the 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens and the 1883 eruption of
Krakatau were preceded by months of low-level activity;
2. some eruptions can reach their paroxysmal phase within an hour
after the eruption starts, for example the 1886 eruption at Tarawera and the 1977
eruption of Usu;
3. to uninstrumented observers, unrest prior to some eruptions can
be too
short to provide a warning of an impeding eruption - highlighting the need
for careful instrumental
monitoring of active volcanoes.
Other volcanoes that have been erupting for the past 19 years (and maybe longer) that are likely to remain active in the future are:
Erta Ale, Ethiopia Manam, Papua New Guinea Langila, Papua New Guinea Bagana, Papua New Guinea Semeru, Indonesia Dukono, Indonesia Suwanose-jima, Japan Sakura-jima, Japan Santa Maria, Guatemala Pacaya, Guatemala Arenal, Costa Rica Sangay, Ecuador Erebus, Antarctica The current eruption of Kilauea has been continuous since 1983.
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